Alari Paulusuuringud

Alari Paulus

Uurimisvaldkonnad

Ettevõtete dünaamika
Maksustamine
Riigirahandus
Fiskaalne mikrosimulatsioon
Majanduslik ebavõrdsus

Haridus

  • 2015 - PhD majandusteaduses, Essexi Ülikool, Ühendkuningriik
  • 2006 - MA majandusteaduses, Tartu Ülikool
  • 2003 - BA rahvamajanduses (cum laude), Tartu Ülikool

Töökogemus

  • Alates 2020 vanemökonomist, rahapoliitika ja majandusuuringute osakond, Eesti Pank
  • 2016-2020 vanemanalüütik, Poliitikauuringute Keskus Praxis
  • 2009-2020 vanemteadur, Sotsiaal- ja Majandusuuringute Instituut (ISER), Essexi Ülikool, Ühendkuningriik
  • 2006-2009 teadur, Sotsiaal- ja Majandusuuringute Instituut (ISER), Essexi Ülikool, Ühendkuningriik 
  • 2005-2006 analüütik, Poliitikauuringute Keskus Praxis

Muu erialane kogemus

  • Külalisuurija, Eesti Pank, 2017
  • ISERi külalisuurijate programmi koordinaator, Essexi Ülikool, 2016-2019
  • EUROMODi toimetiste sarja toimetaja, Essexi Ülikool, 2016-2019
  • Doktorantide kaasjuhendaja, Essexi Ülikool, 2016-2019
  • EUROMODi kursuste instruktor – Essexi Suvekool, Essexi Ülikool, IARIW, Euroopa Komisjon, Rahandusministeerium, Itaalia Rahandusministeerium, Statistikaamet
  • Konsultant – Poliitikauuringute Keskus Praxis, Eesti Pank, World Bank, OECD
  • Õppe- ja uurimistöö assistent, Majandusteaduskond, Tartu Ülikool, 2003-2005

Publikatsioonid

Artiklid rahvusvahelistes eelretsenseeritud teadusajakirjades

  • Meriküll, J.& Paulus, A. (2024), "Were jobs saved at the cost of productivity in the COVID-19 crisis?", European Economic Review, 161. [DOI, Open Access]
  • Meriküll, J. & Paulus, A. (2023), “The impact of the Covid-19 job retention support on employment”, Economics Letters, Vol 222. [DOI]   
  • Laurimäe, M., Paas, T. & Paulus, A. (2022), “The effect of COVID-19 and the wage compensation measure on income-related gender disparities”, Baltic Journal of Economics, Vol 22(2), lk 146-166. [DOI, Open Access]
  • Paulus, A. & Tasseva, I. (2020), “Europe through the crisis: discretionary policy changes and automatic stabilisers”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol 82(4), lk 864-888. [DOI, Open Access]
  • Paulus, A., Sutherland, H. & Tasseva, I. (2020), “Indexing out of poverty? Fiscal drag and benefit erosion in cross-national perspective”, Review of Income and Wealth, Vol 66(2), lk 311-333. [DOI, Open Access]
  • Kukk, M., Paulus, A. & Staehr, K. (2020), “Cheating in Europe: underreporting of self-employment income in comparative perspective”, International Tax and Public Finance, Vol 27(2), lk 363-390. [DOI, Open Access]
  • Vainre, M., Aaben, L., Paulus, P., Koppel, H., Tammsaar, H., Telve, K., Koppel, K., Beilmann, K. & Uusberg, A. (2020), “Nudging towards tax compliance: A fieldwork-informed randomised controlled trial”, Journal of Behavioral Public Administration, Vol 3(1). [DOI, Open Access; 2020 JBPA Best Paper Award]
  • Dolls, M., Doorley, K., Paulus, A., Schneider, H. & Sommer, E. (2019), “Demographic change and the European income distribution”, Journal of Economic Inequality, Vol 17(3), lk 337-357. [DOI, Open Access]
  • Figari, F., Paulus, A., Sutherland, H., Tsakloglou, P., Verbist, G. & Zantomio, F. (2017), “Removing homeownership bias in taxation: the distributional effects of including net imputed rent in taxable income”, Fiscal Studies, Vol 38(4), lk 525–557. [DOI, Open Access]
  • Dolls, M., Doorley, K., Paulus, A., Schneider, H., Siegloch, S. & Sommer, E. (2017), “Fiscal sustainability and demographic change: a micro approach for 27 EU countries”, International Tax and Public Finance, Vol 24(4), lk 575-615. [DOI]
  • Paulus, A., Figari, F. & Sutherland, H. (2017), “The design of fiscal consolidation measures in the European Union: distributional effects and implications for macro-economic recovery”, Oxford Economic Papers, Vol 69(3), lk 632-654. [DOI, Open Access]
  • Figari, F. & Paulus, A. (2015), “The distributional effects of taxes and transfers under alternative income concepts: the importance of three ‘I’s”, Public Finance Review, Vol 43(3), lk 347-372. [DOI]
  • Figari, F., Paulus, A. & Sutherland, H. (2011), “Measuring the size and impact of public cash support for children in cross-national perspective”, Social Science Computer Review, Vol 29(1), lk 85-102. [DOI]
  • Paulus, A., Sutherland, H. & Tsakloglou, P. (2010), “The distributional impact of in kind public benefits in European countries”, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Vol 29(2), lk 243-266. [DOI]
  • Paulus, A. & Peichl, A. (2009), “Effects of flat tax reforms in Western Europe”, Journal of Policy Modeling, Vol 31, lk 620-636. [DOI]

Teadusartiklid kogumikes

  • Hills, J., Paulus, A., Sutherland, H. & Tasseva, I. (2019), “Policy and poverty in seven EU-countries in the Lisbon Decade: The contribution of tax-benefit policy changes”, in Cantillon, B., Goedemé, T. & Hills, J. (Eds.) Decent Incomes for All: Improving Policies in Europe. New York: Oxford University Press, lk 108-132. [DOI]
  • Figari, F., Paulus, A. & Sutherland, H. (2015), “Microsimulation and Policy Analysis”, in Atkinson, A.B. & Bourguignon, F. (Eds.) Handbook of Income Distribution, Vol 2B. Amsterdam: Elsevier, lk. 2141-2221. [DOI, varasem versioon: ISER WP 2014-23]
  • Paulus, A., Čok, M., Figari, F., Hegedüs, P., Kralik, S., Kump, N., Lelkes, O., Levy, H., Lietz, C., Mantovani, D., Morawski, L., Sutherland, H., Szivos, P. & Võrk, A. (2009), “The effects of taxes and benefits on income distribution in the enlarged EU”, in Lelkes, O. & Sutherland, H. (Eds.) Tax and Benefit Policies in the Enlarged Europe: Assessing the Impact with Microsimulation Models. Vienna: Ashgate, lk 65-90. [varasem versioon: EUROMOD WP 8/09]
  • Paulus, A., Lelkes, O., Čok, M., Kump, N., Hegedüs, P., Võrk, A., Szivos, P. & Kralik, S.  (2009), “Flat tax reform in Eastern Europe: comparative analysis of alternative scenarios in Estonia, Hungary and Slovenia, using EUROMOD”, in Lelkes, O. & Sutherland, H. (Eds.) Tax and Benefit Policies in the Enlarged Europe: Assessing the Impact with Microsimulation Models. Vienna: Ashgate, lk 91-124. [varasem versioon: EUROMOD WP 9/09]
  • Paulus, A., Figari, F. & Sutherland, H. (2009), “The effect of taxes and benefits on income distribution”, in Ward, T. et al. (Eds.) European Inequalities: Social Inclusion and Income Distribution in the European Union, Budapest: Tarki, lk 153-175. [download]
  • Kriz, K., Meriküll, J., Paulus, A. & Staehr, K. (2008), “Why do individuals evade payroll and income taxation in Estonia?”, in Pickhardt, M. & Shinnick, E. (Eds.) The shadow economy, corruption and governance. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing, lk 240-264. [varasem versioon: FEBA WP 49]
  • Kriz, K., Paulus, A. & Staehr, K. (2006), “Local government fees and user charges in Estonia”, in Šević, Ž. (ed.) Local government non-tax revenue sources in transition countries: User fees and charges. Bratislava: NISPAcee, lk 104-129.
  • Paulus, A. (2004), “Income inequality and its decomposition: The case of Estonia”, in Paas, T. & Tafenau, E. (Eds.) Modelling the economies of the Baltic Sea region. Tartu: TU Press, lk 206-235. [download]

Toimetised ja muud publikatsioonid (valitud)

  • Paulus, A. & Staehr, K. (2022), “The Energy Crisis in the Baltic States: Causes, Challenges, and Policies”, EconPol Forum, Vol 23(6), lk 28-32. [download ]
  • Kukk, M., Paulus, A. & Reigl, N. (2022), “Credit market concentration and systemic risk in Europe”, Bank of Estonia Working Paper No. 4/2022 .
  • Paulus, A. (2022), “Business investment, the user cost of capital and firm heterogeneity”, Bank of Estonia Working Paper No. 2/2022.

  • Paulus, A & Klein, C. (2019), “Effects of tax-benefit policies on the income distribution and work incentives in Estonia”, OECD Economics Department Working Paper No. 1570.

  • Paulus, A. (2016), “The antipoverty performance of universal and means-tested benefits with costly take-up”, ImPRovE Working Paper 16/12.
  • Paulus, A. (2015), “Income underreporting based on income-expenditure gaps: survey vs tax records”, ISER Working Paper 2015-15.
  • Paulus, A. (2015), “Tax evasion and measurement error: An econometric analysis of survey data linked with tax records”, ISER Working Paper 2015-10.
  • Võrk, A., Paulus, A. & Leppik, C. (2014), „Lastega peredele mõeldud toetuste mõju vaesusele ja töötamise stiimulitele”, Riigikogu Toimetised Nr 30, lk 61-69.
  • Võrk, A. & Paulus, A. (2007), “Peredele suunatud rahaliste toetuste mõju vaesuse leevendamisele Eestis", Riigikogu Toimetised Nr 15, lk 98-105.
  • Paulus, A. (2004), “Hariduslik ebavõrdsus Eestis 1959-2000: keskmine õpiaeg ja hariduse Gini koefitsient”, PRAXIS Poliitikaanalüüs Nr 7.

Retsensioonid

Baltic Journal of Economics, CESifo Economic Studies, Eastern Economic Journal, Economic Journal, Economic Modelling, Economic Systems, Emerging Markets Finances and Trade, Empirica, Fiscal Studies, Habitat International, Hacienda Pública Española/ Review of Public Economics, International Journal of Microsimulation, International Labour Review, International Review of Administrative Sciences, International Tax and Public Finance, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Journal of Economic Inequality, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Journal of Tax Administration, Public Finance Review, Review of Income and Wealth, Social Policy & Administration, Social Science Computer Review

Teadusvõrgustikud

ORCID (iD 0000-0001-7921-0462), Google Scholar, ETIS, Repec, ResearchGate, SSRN